Report from Hawk Hill, Part 2
Each fall, hundreds of volunteers with the Golden Gate Raptor Observatory track hawk migration through the Bay Area. To celebrate fall migration, here’s the second installment in a two-part interview with GGRO Director Allen Fish.
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Q: What trends have you seen in recent years in terms of numbers, species, timing, anything else?
A: With 19 species of annual raptors, and a quarter-century of data, I could spend days on this question, but to give a few examples:
- Peregrine Falcon numbers have increased steadily over the 25 years of the GGRO count. In 1985, we tallied one Peregrine every 200 or so count-hours at GGRO; today we see a Peregrine just about every other hour.
- We have started to mine our data for phenological changes — that is, changes in peak dates of migration that might be attributed to climate change. Sharp-shinned Hawks seem to show some slippage of their peak dates over time, but the statisticians are still working on their part of the analysis, so I better not say too much.
Q: How many volunteers do you have counting on weekdays? On weekends?
A: Weekday counters, about 80 volunteers. Weekend, about 60. A volunteer makes a commitment to one weekday or weekend day every other week from August through December. An exceptionally experienced volunteer with five to 25 years’ experience is the leader for the day. He or she tries to see and corroborate every raptor.
Q: How does the Quadrant System work? Does it keep you from counting the same hawk multiple times? How was it created?
A: We split the 360-degree view-shed on Hawk Hill into four impossibly huge slices of pie that we call quadrants. Two to three volunteers focus on one of these quadrants for an hour at a time trying to see every new raptor, and to pass every previously spotted raptor. If we’re not sure whether a hawk has been counted already, we count it. One person records species, ages, and sexes for the whole team.
Nothing can keep a human being from counting the same hawk multiple times on Hawk Hill. We have learned from band recoveries and radio-tracking studies that raptors may leave Marin and come back days or even months later. So how do we account for “double-counts?” First off, we assume they happen. And that they happen at some regular rate that stays consistent from year to year. …